Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -150 LAF +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -1.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -2.4 (+16.6) | 148.7 (+8.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -2.0 (+17.0) | 149.1 (+7.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -2.1 (+16.9) | 152.7 (+4.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -2.1 (+16.9) | 150.4 (+6.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | L-MD 68 – 54 LAF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LAF 79 – 64 L-MD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | L-MD 71 – 58 LAF |
| Jan 23, 2025 | LAF 80 – 59 L-MD |
| Feb 15, 2024 | L-MD 79 – 64 LAF |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.