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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–0 on winners
spread MAE 8.4
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valparaiso
@
Northern Iowa
|
+2.4 | 136.2 | 63% | 60–74 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Arizona State
|
+4.1 | 143.8 | 67% | 73–75 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Maryland
|
+2.5 | 138.0 | 63% | 59–72 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
LSU New Orleans
|
-7.6 | 152.9 | 23% | 89–79 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Tennessee Tech
|
-7.5 | 152.5 | 21% | 83–72 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
-6.2 | 138.3 | 27% | 86–57 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
Longwood
|
+4.1 | 133.7 | 68% | 73–83 | ✓ |
South Carolina Upstate
@
Presbyterian
|
+2.0 | 134.4 | 62% | 65–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.