Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC +320 EKU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -9.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.5 (-3.5) | 152.5 (+2.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -7.8 (-3.2) | 152.9 (+2.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -9.4 (-1.6) | 156.3 (-1.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -8.1 (-2.9) | 152.8 (+2.2) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2021 | EKU 90 – 80 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-22 | 22-7 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 0-16 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#326) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#334) | 0.51 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#331) | -0.08 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#306) | 0.527 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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