Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -650 TNTC +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +10 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -15.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -11.3 (-1.3) | 146.7 (+23.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -12.1 (-2.1) | 149.6 (+20.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -13.0 (-3.0) | 149.7 (+20.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -12.5 (-2.5) | 146.4 (+23.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2021 | EKU 83 – 72 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-7 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 9-4 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#132) | -10.7 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#95) | -2.15 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#116) | -2.31 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#105) | 0.419 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.1% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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