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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.2
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
@
Florida State
|
+1.9 | 136.5 | 59% | 60–81 | ✓ |
East Tennessee State
@
Chattanooga
|
+1.2 | 135.5 | 58% | 51–53 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Washington State
|
+7.8 | 142.2 | 81% | 65–63 | ✗ |
Northern Illinois
@
Akron
|
+18.8 | 139.2 | 91% | 76–81 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+13.3 | 147.3 | 87% | 58–76 | ✓ |
Providence
@
UConn
|
+5.3 | 135.8 | 70% | 61–73 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.