Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -700 ISU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -15.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -13.3 (+4.7) | 147.3 (-13.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -11.7 (+6.3) | 148.2 (-14.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -14.1 (+3.9) | 148.3 (-14.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -14.0 (+4.0) | 146.4 (-12.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 0-18 |
| Home | 10-3 | 2-10 |
| Away | 8-4 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#57) | -3.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#17) | -1.37 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#15) | -1.66 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#30) | 0.457 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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