Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ASU -188 ORST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -4.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -4.1 (-2.1) | 143.8 (+4.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -3.1 (-1.1) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -3.1 (-1.1) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -3.8 (-1.8) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | ORST 78 – 75 ASU |
| Feb 15, 2024 | ASU 79 – 61 ORST |
| Jan 28, 2024 | ORST 84 – 71 ASU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | ASU 63 – 57 ORST |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ASU 68 – 57 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | 1.8 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#141) | 0.67 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#130) | 1.05 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#129) | 0.500 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.