Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | STAN -163 UTAH +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -4.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -4.4 (+2.6) | 138.5 (+0.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -2.6 (+4.4) | 135.5 (+3.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -4.1 (+2.9) | 139.7 (-0.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -4.4 (+2.6) | 140.1 (-1.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 68 STAN |
| Jan 14, 2024 | STAN 79 – 73 UTAH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | STAN 73 – 62 UTAH |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STAN 78 – 72 UTAH |
| Dec 31, 2022 | UTAH 71 – 66 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-11 |
| Home | 5-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#61) | 7.7 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#60) | 1.09 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#60) | 1.63 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#50) | 0.544 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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