Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -400 UNLV +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -14.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -12.6 (-10.6) | 143.4 (-23.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -11.0 (-9.0) | 137.4 (-17.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -13.4 (-11.4) | 141.3 (-21.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -12.4 (-10.4) | 142.2 (-22.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#39) | -1.3 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#36) | -0.11 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#48) | -0.33 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#15) | 0.489 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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