Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -390 UCSD +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +15 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -9.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -8.1 (+6.9) | 141.4 (-26.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -9.4 (+5.6) | 138.0 (-23.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -10.1 (+4.9) | 138.9 (-23.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -8.6 (+6.4) | 141.9 (-26.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCSD 84 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 62 CSUB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCSD 73 – 54 CSUB |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCSD 81 – 60 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUB 70 – 57 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 0-0 |
| Home | 9-2 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#150) | -5.7 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#126) | -1.54 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#117) | -1.69 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#139) | 0.435 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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