Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UNA +175 BELL -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +24 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -5.6 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -4.8 (-19.2) | 139.5 (+10.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -4.2 (-19.8) | 134.4 (+15.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -5.9 (-18.1) | 137.7 (+12.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -4.8 (-19.2) | 140.8 (+9.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 7-8 | 10-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#289) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#280) | -0.09 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#280) | -0.15 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#283) | 0.504 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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