Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +350 UCLA -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -10.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -8.0 (+5.0) | 144.3 (-19.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -9.2 (+6.2) | 140.6 (-15.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -9.5 (+6.5) | 143.3 (-18.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -8.8 (+5.8) | 143.8 (-18.8) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCLA 77 – 73 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2025 | UCLA 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UCLA 65 – 60 WASH |
| Dec 4, 2024 | UCLA 69 – 58 WASH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WASH 94 – 77 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-21 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 13-6 |
| Home | 4-7 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#201) | 10.3 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#240) | 2.11 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#220) | 2.66 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#233) | 0.601 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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