Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -600 UTU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +4 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -13.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (+32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -10.9 (-14.9) | 151.3 (+30.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -10.5 (-14.5) | 151.4 (+30.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -11.4 (-15.4) | 151.3 (+30.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -11.1 (-15.1) | 151.4 (+30.6) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 8-13 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#208) | -14.0 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#260) | -1.89 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#270) | -2.90 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#234) | 0.418 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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