Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY +230 COLG -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +9 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -9.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -4.1 (-4.9) | 148.7 (+26.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -5.4 (-3.6) | 147.9 (+27.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -5.4 (-3.6) | 152.0 (+23.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -4.4 (-4.6) | 148.4 (+26.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | COLG 69 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLG 76 – 69 ARMY |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COLG 84 – 55 ARMY |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ARMY 84 – 72 COLG |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COLG 71 – 59 ARMY |
Game Analysis
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