Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | GT -200 PITT +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | GT -3.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -4.7 (+1.3) | 146.0 (-10.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -2.2 (+3.8) | 143.1 (-7.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -4.1 (+1.9) | 146.2 (-10.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -4.4 (+1.6) | 145.0 (-9.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | PITT 89 – 66 GT |
| Feb 26, 2025 | GT 73 – 67 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | PITT 72 – 64 GT |
| Mar 8, 2023 | PITT 89 – 81 GT |
| Feb 22, 2023 | PITT 76 – 68 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#66) | 7.3 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#75) | 1.27 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#63) | 1.74 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#160) | 0.521 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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