Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
88 – 81
FINAL Conference
UIC Flames
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UIC -1.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money IUIN +125 / UIC -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual IUIN +7 169 Won
Massey IUIN -2.0 (+5.0) — —
Massey Totals — 142.0 (+27.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 66% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 67% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IUIN -2.2 (+4.8) 142.4 (+26.6) 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IUIN -2.7 (+4.3) 140.7 (+28.3) 64% ✓
Baseline ML IUIN -2.8 (+4.2) 142.1 (+26.9) 64% ✓
Baseline Plus ML IUIN -3.0 (+4.0) 144.3 (+24.7) 71% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2022 UIC 57 – 54 IUIN
Jan 11, 2022 UIC 67 – 65 IUIN
Feb 12, 2021 IUIN 89 – 69 UIC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN UIC
Overall 8-10 9-13
Conference 7-9 6-10
Home 3-5 7-4
Away 4-5 2-9
Neutral 1-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 71.2 67.7
Avg Pts Against 75.8 72.3
Massey -7.8 (#283) -7.2 (#277)
Bradley-Terry -0.87 (#243) -1.08 (#258)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#257) -1.62 (#270)
RPI 0.461 (#234) 0.431 (#277)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN UIC
FG% 41.6% 42.9%
3PT% 34.1% 33.9%
REB / G 33.3 35.1
OREB / G 9.6 8.3
AST / TO 0.99 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 50.0%
TOV% 18.4% 19.2%
ORB% 25.9% 23.5%
FT Rate 19.6% 15.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 14.5%
DRB% 73.4% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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