Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +3 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -18.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -13.5 (-10.5) | 128.1 (-17.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -14.8 (-11.8) | 131.3 (-20.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -14.4 (-11.4) | 130.2 (-19.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -14.6 (-11.6) | 128.3 (-17.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2022 | UIC 67 – 65 IUIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | IUIN 88 – 81 UIC |
| Feb 12, 2021 | IUIN 89 – 69 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 9-10 | 1-16 |
| Home | 6-6 | 2-11 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 51.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#278) | -22.4 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#286) | -5.21 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#297) | -6.61 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#279) | 0.319 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 26.8% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.5% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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