Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +150 UIC -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +20 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -0.6 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IUIN -0.1 (+19.9) | 142.2 (+15.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IUIN -0.8 (+19.2) | 140.4 (+17.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -0.3 (+19.7) | 140.9 (+17.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IUIN -0.4 (+19.6) | 144.4 (+13.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2022 | UIC 57 – 54 IUIN |
| Jan 11, 2022 | UIC 67 – 65 IUIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | IUIN 88 – 81 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 3-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#302) | -6.1 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#252) | -0.96 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#270) | -1.44 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#242) | 0.437 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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