Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -8.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -9.5 (+7.5) | 124.4 (+7.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -9.0 (+7.0) | 125.9 (+6.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -10.0 (+8.0) | 123.8 (+8.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -11.4 (+9.4) | 126.3 (+5.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2022 | UIC 57 – 54 IUIN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | IUIN 88 – 81 UIC |
| Feb 12, 2021 | IUIN 89 – 69 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 9-10 |
| Home | 2-11 | 6-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -19.0 (#357) | -6.3 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.27 (#354) | -1.30 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.68 (#354) | -1.93 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.310 (#358) | 0.426 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.52 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 27.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 10.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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