Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RMU +138 OAK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -0.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -0.6 (+6.6) | 155.2 (+14.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -0.1 (+5.9) | 153.0 (+17.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -1.1 (+7.1) | 154.7 (+15.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -0.9 (+6.9) | 155.8 (+14.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RMU 93 – 69 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OAK 96 – 73 RMU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RMU 73 – 71 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RMU 79 – 71 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-15 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 3-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#292) | -6.5 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#328) | -0.67 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#321) | -0.88 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#320) | 0.519 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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