Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -450 UTU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -13.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -10.5 (+4.5) | 150.4 (+8.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -10.6 (+4.4) | 149.0 (+10.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -10.8 (+4.2) | 150.7 (+8.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -9.8 (+5.2) | 150.9 (+8.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UVU 104 – 101 UTU |
| Feb 13, 2026 | UTU 81 – 77 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UVU 92 – 76 UTU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UVU 74 – 57 UTU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UVU 79 – 77 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 8-13 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#216) | -14.4 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#272) | -1.87 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#286) | -2.87 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#244) | 0.418 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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