Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -1000 WCU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +18 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -15.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.1 (+5.9) | 146.7 (+11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -11.1 (+6.9) | 148.7 (+9.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -13.8 (+4.2) | 149.0 (+9.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.9 (+5.1) | 148.2 (+9.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-9 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 4-13 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#70) | -4.2 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#115) | -0.54 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#103) | -0.72 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#89) | 0.467 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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