Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Christl Arena · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread COLG -6.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money ARMY +260 / COLG -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARMY win
Actual COLG +10 158 Lost
Massey COLG -9.4 (-0.6) — —
Massey Totals — 148.9 (+9.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 37% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLG -4.7 (-5.3) 147.3 (+10.7) 35% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLG -6.5 (-3.5) 148.0 (+10.0) 27% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLG -7.5 (-2.5) 150.4 (+7.6) 24% ✓
Baseline ML COLG -4.0 (-6.0) 148.0 (+10.0) 23% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2026 COLG 69 – 55 ARMY
Jan 3, 2026 COLG 76 – 69 ARMY
Mar 7, 2025 COLG 84 – 55 ARMY
Jan 29, 2025 ARMY 84 – 72 COLG
Jan 3, 2025 COLG 71 – 59 ARMY

Game Analysis

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