Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MTST +175 EWU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +16 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -3.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -1.5 (-14.5) | 151.4 (+2.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.0 (-14.0) | 151.1 (+2.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -2.2 (-13.8) | 154.1 (-0.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -2.7 (-13.3) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 12-3 |
| Home | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#201) | 3.6 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | 0.03 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#210) | 0.25 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#166) | 0.547 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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