Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -333 MAN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -12.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -10.7 (-17.7) | 132.3 (+14.7) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -9.4 (-16.4) | 131.3 (+15.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.8 (-17.8) | 134.4 (+12.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -10.7 (-17.7) | 132.9 (+14.1) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-6 | 7-13 |
| Conference | 6-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | -8.4 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#143) | -1.30 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#153) | -1.79 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.413 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 36.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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