Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +150 UL -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +16 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -2.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -2.5 (-13.5) | 136.4 (+23.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -2.5 (-13.5) | 136.8 (+23.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -1.8 (-14.2) | 138.9 (+21.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -1.9 (-14.1) | 136.7 (+23.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | UL 85 – 79 ULM |
| Dec 20, 2025 | UL 76 – 62 ULM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UL 73 – 69 ULM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UL 65 – 60 ULM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UL 71 – 68 ULM |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.