Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -138 DETM +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +6 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -1.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.7 (-8.7) | 143.1 (+28.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.7 (-8.7) | 140.8 (+31.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.8 (-7.8) | 143.8 (+28.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.5 (-8.5) | 143.5 (+28.5) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 12-10 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#192) | -1.0 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#95) | -0.50 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#123) | -0.46 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#29) | 0.474 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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