Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UND +260 SDAK -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -8.6 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -8.1 (+17.1) | 146.7 (+14.3) | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -6.1 (+15.1) | 146.1 (+14.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -7.5 (+16.5) | 147.9 (+13.1) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -7.2 (+16.2) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UND 72 – 71 SDAK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UND 96 – 80 SDAK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 79 UND |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDAK 102 – 93 UND |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UND 95 – 66 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Home | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#308) | 1.6 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#317) | -0.18 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#326) | -0.27 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#299) | 0.482 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.