Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -1000 KSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -16.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -15.0 (-8.0) | 144.9 (-17.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -12.8 (-5.8) | 138.9 (-11.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -14.4 (-7.4) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -14.5 (-7.5) | 144.5 (-17.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-12 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#54) | -4.0 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#18) | -0.67 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#15) | -1.01 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#30) | 0.459 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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