Betting Lines
| Spread | APSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | APSU -700 SEMO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -7.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -7.2 (+7.8) | 136.2 (+4.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -6.6 (+8.4) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -6.9 (+8.1) | 139.4 (+1.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -7.4 (+7.6) | 138.8 (+2.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2022 | APSU 74 – 66 SEMO |
| Jan 1, 2022 | SEMO 98 – 79 APSU |
| Feb 17, 2021 | SEMO 86 – 81 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#207) | -8.0 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#214) | -1.87 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#231) | -2.47 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#193) | 0.409 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.