Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -138 SBU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -3.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -3.9 (-0.9) | 135.1 (-4.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.2 (+0.8) | 133.5 (-2.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -3.8 (-0.8) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.1 (-1.1) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | VCU 89 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | VCU 76 – 59 SBU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VCU 75 – 61 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SBU 77 – 75 VCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | SBU 67 – 62 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 11-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#44) | 10.5 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#38) | 2.30 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#39) | 2.78 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#25) | 0.621 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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