Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -110 ORE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -3.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.3 (-5.3) | 144.4 (-20.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -2.7 (-4.7) | 139.9 (-15.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -3.8 (-5.8) | 144.9 (-20.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -3.6 (-5.6) | 144.0 (-20.0) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2025 | ARIZ 87 – 83 ORE |
| Mar 16, 2024 | ORE 67 – 59 ARIZ |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARIZ 103 – 83 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ARIZ 87 – 78 ORE |
| Feb 3, 2023 | ARIZ 91 – 76 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#37) | 10.7 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#63) | 1.72 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#57) | 2.38 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#67) | 0.560 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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