Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SC +110 MISS +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +7 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -2.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -1.0 (-6.0) | 138.1 (+16.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -1.6 (-5.4) | 136.8 (+18.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -1.6 (-5.4) | 139.5 (+15.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -1.0 (-6.0) | 139.6 (+15.4) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MISS 72 – 68 SC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SC 72 – 59 MISS |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 65 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MISS 67 – 61 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 3-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#97) | 10.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#127) | 1.47 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#117) | 1.97 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#133) | 0.559 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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