Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | GB +110 NKU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -0.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.3 (-4.7) | 147.6 (-10.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -0.9 (-4.1) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.5 (-4.5) | 147.0 (-10.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.4 (-4.6) | 148.7 (-11.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NKU 96 – 76 GB |
| Feb 5, 2026 | GB 87 – 84 NKU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | GB 80 – 78 NKU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NKU 73 – 60 GB |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NKU 78 – 60 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#274) | -4.3 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#266) | -0.57 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#264) | -0.86 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#250) | 0.487 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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