Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | HCU +100 LAM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | HCU -4.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -3.1 (+1.9) | 147.0 (+8.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -2.7 (+2.3) | 146.1 (+8.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -2.4 (+2.6) | 147.9 (+7.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -3.2 (+1.8) | 146.4 (+8.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HCU 75 – 53 LAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | LAM 64 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAM 66 – 58 HCU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LAM 63 – 61 HCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LAM 78 – 68 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-19 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#322) | -13.0 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#333) | -2.31 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#329) | -3.04 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#321) | 0.393 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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