Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | KENT -1400 NIU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +22 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -23.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -19.5 (+2.5) | 142.2 (-4.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -16.7 (+5.3) | 140.0 (-2.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -19.8 (+2.2) | 142.4 (-4.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -19.8 (+2.2) | 141.1 (-3.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 3-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-2 | 2-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#84) | -14.2 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#97) | -2.31 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#94) | -3.44 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#62) | 0.395 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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