Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -900 CARK +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +40 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -11.9 (+28.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -10.7 (+29.3) | 150.3 (+3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -10.7 (+29.3) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -12.5 (+27.5) | 151.8 (+2.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -11.2 (+28.8) | 150.8 (+3.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2021 | SHSU 91 – 80 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | -10.9 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#93) | -3.30 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#124) | -4.51 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#64) | 0.428 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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