Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +11 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -1.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -0.3 (-11.3) | 146.7 (+24.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -0.4 (-11.4) | 151.5 (+19.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.7 (-10.3) | 149.6 (+21.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -0.0 (-11.0) | 147.4 (+23.6) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2021 | SHSU 97 – 57 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#241) | -3.2 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#255) | 0.96 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#267) | 0.86 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#198) | 0.601 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 25.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.