Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | CSUB -420 UCSD +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -9.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -8.7 (-3.7) | 140.1 (+6.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -9.6 (-4.6) | 136.9 (+10.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -9.4 (-4.4) | 136.7 (+10.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -9.0 (-4.0) | 138.7 (+8.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCSD 84 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 62 CSUB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCSD 73 – 54 CSUB |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCSD 81 – 60 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUB 70 – 57 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 0-0 |
| Home | 9-2 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#146) | -6.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#130) | -1.52 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#121) | -1.67 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#124) | 0.428 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 17.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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