Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +140 TENN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -1.3 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -0.4 (+12.6) | 145.7 (-2.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -0.7 (+12.3) | 143.4 (-0.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -1.1 (+11.9) | 146.4 (-3.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -0.6 (+12.4) | 144.9 (-1.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TENN 73 – 63 LSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | TENN 65 – 59 LSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TENN 88 – 68 LSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TENN 77 – 56 LSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 10-7 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#30) | 16.3 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#51) | 2.60 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#50) | 3.34 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#33) | 0.583 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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