Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -250 ILST +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +25 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -5.6 (-30.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -4.5 (-29.5) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -3.5 (-28.5) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -4.4 (-29.4) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -4.4 (-29.4) | 139.8 (-4.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SIU 54 – 50 ILST |
| Dec 19, 2025 | ILST 75 – 68 SIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SIU 88 – 79 ILST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | ILST 85 – 54 SIU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIU 69 – 66 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 7-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 3-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#199) | -5.3 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#176) | -1.44 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#215) | -1.55 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#181) | 0.428 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.