Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | KC -250 OMA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +10 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | KC -10.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -8.6 (+1.4) | 130.5 (-16.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -8.4 (+1.6) | 122.3 (-8.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -8.3 (+1.7) | 130.8 (-16.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -8.4 (+1.6) | 130.5 (-16.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-13 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-3 | 1-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#210) | -10.8 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#308) | -2.75 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#304) | -3.91 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#269) | 0.416 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.5% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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