Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -225 UTA +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -6.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -6.2 (+4.8) | 128.7 (+18.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -6.4 (+4.6) | 128.5 (+18.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -6.5 (+4.5) | 129.1 (+17.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -7.1 (+3.9) | 129.7 (+17.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | UTA 80 – 72 TXST |
| Nov 25, 2023 | TXST 73 – 66 UTA |
| Dec 11, 2022 | TXST 71 – 65 UTA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | TXST 58 – 53 UTA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTA 70 – 58 TXST |
Game Analysis
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