Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TXST -260 UTA +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -8.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -5.4 (-13.4) | 144.6 (+7.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -8.0 (-16.0) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -8.2 (-16.2) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -7.5 (-15.5) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | TXST 73 – 66 UTA |
| Dec 11, 2022 | TXST 71 – 65 UTA |
| Jan 29, 2022 | TXST 58 – 53 UTA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTA 70 – 58 TXST |
| Feb 13, 2021 | TXST 79 – 68 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#111) | -1.4 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#108) | -0.87 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#125) | -0.98 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#85) | 0.494 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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