Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | GTWN -110 BTLR +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -4.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -4.0 (+11.0) | 132.3 (+8.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -2.7 (+12.3) | 132.6 (+8.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -3.7 (+11.3) | 133.7 (+7.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -3.9 (+11.1) | 132.9 (+8.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#106) | 3.1 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#116) | 0.72 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#116) | 1.11 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#147) | 0.495 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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