Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MONT +130 WEB -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +9 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -2.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.0 (-8.0) | 143.0 (+30.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -1.2 (-7.8) | 142.4 (+30.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.7 (-7.3) | 145.1 (+27.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -0.7 (-8.3) | 145.2 (+27.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 17-6 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#171) | 4.6 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#250) | -0.11 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#235) | -0.06 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#195) | 0.523 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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