Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -120 WOF +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +22 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -2.8 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -2.4 (+19.6) | 141.3 (-21.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -2.9 (+19.1) | 138.2 (-18.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -2.6 (+19.4) | 139.8 (-19.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -2.7 (+19.3) | 142.2 (-22.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WOF 72 – 69 ETSU |
| Feb 2, 2026 | ETSU 86 – 72 WOF |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WOF 72 – 60 ETSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ETSU 73 – 68 WOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WOF 81 – 78 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 8-7 | 12-5 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 3-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#114) | 3.4 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#144) | 0.89 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#125) | 1.07 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#86) | 0.548 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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