Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -275 IU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +19 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -6.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -7.2 (+11.8) | 145.5 (-8.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -6.2 (+12.8) | 142.7 (-5.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -7.2 (+11.8) | 148.0 (-11.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.9 (+12.1) | 146.2 (-9.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OSU 91 – 78 IU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | IU 77 – 76 OSU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | IU 76 – 73 OSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | IU 71 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#9) | 12.7 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#4) | 2.02 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.68 (#4) | 2.96 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#8) | 0.546 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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