Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ISU +600 KU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +14 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -13.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -12.8 (-1.2) | 147.4 (-33.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -12.3 (-1.7) | 142.3 (-28.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -14.7 (+0.7) | 147.2 (-33.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -13.9 (-0.1) | 148.2 (-34.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 12-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 14-1 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#212) | 13.1 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#270) | 2.91 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#272) | 3.39 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#233) | 0.595 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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