Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -500 MORE +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -10.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -8.2 (+6.8) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -10.7 (+4.3) | 142.6 (-11.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -10.1 (+4.9) | 143.2 (-12.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -10.8 (+4.2) | 140.9 (-9.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2022 | MORE 53 – 51 BEL |
| Feb 11, 2022 | BEL 48 – 47 MORE |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MORE 83 – 74 BEL |
| Mar 7, 2021 | MORE 86 – 71 BEL |
| Feb 27, 2021 | MORE 89 – 82 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 17-3 |
| Home | 11-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 10-2 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#68) | 0.9 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#43) | 0.64 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#76) | 0.59 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#74) | 0.541 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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